Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 13:00
12.4738.0%
X3.1529.8%
22.9232.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Modena
WWLDDDWWDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Pisa
DDDDDWDDWW
3W 7D 0L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
0.60
30%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.50
1.30
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.50
Against
5.80
10.00
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
0.60
2.60
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Modena attack
1.60goals per matchPisa conceded0.60Matchup
Pisa attack
1.00goals per matchModena conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.80
10.00
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
16.90N=10
29.10
Match total
29.40
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches454
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.0%34.1%-3.9 pp
Draw29.8%33.0%+3.2 pp
Away32.2%32.8%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
1.24–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.9%
0-110.1%
0-09.7%
1-09.5%
2-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.23–4.51
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=453.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.527.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.8%18.6%–32.3% CI
Draw FT49.0%41.1%–56.9% CI
Away FT26.2%19.8%–33.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals9.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.0%
Away47.0%