Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 13:00
12.4738.0%
X3.1529.8%
22.9232.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Modena
WWLDDDWWDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Pisa
DDDDDWDDWW
3W 7D 0L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
0.60
30%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.50
1.30
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.50
Against
5.80
10.00
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
0.60
2.60
Total goals
1.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Modena attack

1.60goals per match
Pisa conceded0.60
Matchup

Pisa attack

1.00goals per match
Modena conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
20%2/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.80
10.00
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Match total
5.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
16.90N=10
29.10
Match total
29.40

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches454
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.0%34.1%-3.9 pp
Draw29.8%33.0%+3.2 pp
Away32.2%32.8%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.241.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
0-110.1%
0-09.7%
1-09.5%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.51
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=453.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.8%18.6%–32.3% CI
Draw FT49.0%41.1%–56.9% CI
Away FT26.2%19.8%–33.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals9.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.0%
Away47.0%