Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-10 · 19:30
12.0845.2%
X3.0830.5%
23.8624.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cagliari
WDDDWWWWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Ascoli
WDDLWLDLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.90
Against
3.30
10.40
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cagliari attack
1.50goals per matchAscoli conceded1.10Matchup
Ascoli attack
1.10goals per matchCagliari conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.30
10.40
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.40
Match total
6.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
17.10N=10
29.70
Match total
31.80
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.00
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.2%51.7%+6.6 pp
Draw30.5%28.0%-2.5 pp
Away24.3%20.3%-4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS42.0%
Historical average
1.38–0.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.1%
0-014.0%
2-19.8%
1-19.8%
2-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–3.74
Average total8.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.542.0%
Over 10.528.0%
Over 11.519.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.4%29.6%–54.2% CI
Draw FT43.1%31.2%–55.9% CI
Away FT15.5%8.4%–26.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.12
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.5%
2+ goals25.9%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.7%
Away29.3%