Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:00
12.7334.4%
X2.9831.5%
22.7634.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sudtirol
WDDDDLWWDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Perugia
WLDDLWLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

2.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.00
Against
5.50
7.80
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sudtirol attack

1.10goals per match
Perugia conceded1.20
Matchup

Perugia attack

1.10goals per match
Sudtirol conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.50
7.80
Match total
10.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.40
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
17.00N=10
28.00
Match total
29.00

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.60
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches442
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%31.9%-2.5 pp
Draw31.5%37.1%+5.6 pp
Away34.0%31.0%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%
BTTS47.3%

Historical average

1.021.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-015.2%
1-012.2%
0-110.2%
2-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.664.60
Average total9.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=442.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.524.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches182
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.0%22.0%–34.9% CI
Draw FT48.9%41.7%–56.1% CI
Away FT23.1%17.6%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.01

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.2%
2+ goals28.0%
3+ goals8.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.0%
Away39.6%