Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:00
12.6235.9%
X2.9531.9%
22.9132.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
WDLLDLDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Cittadella
DWLWLLWDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.60
Against
6.20
8.50
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.50goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.20
Matchup

Cittadella attack

0.90goals per match
Spal conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.20
8.50
Match total
10.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.50
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
30.50
Match total
31.40

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.80
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches428
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%32.0%-3.9 pp
Draw31.9%37.4%+5.5 pp
Away32.3%30.6%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.061.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.7%
0-012.6%
1-011.9%
0-110.5%
2-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.814.35
Average total9.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=428.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.522.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches164
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.3%25.6%–39.8% CI
Draw FT46.3%38.9%–54.0% CI
Away FT21.3%15.8%–28.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.1%
2+ goals31.1%
3+ goals9.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away40.2%