Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:00
12.6535.5%
X3.0730.6%
22.7833.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ascoli
LLWLDDLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Bari
WWLDDWDLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.60
Against
7.30
8.20
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Ascoli attack

0.90goals per match
Bari conceded0.80
Matchup

Bari attack

1.40goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
7.30
8.20
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.60
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
30.60
Match total
27.10

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.60
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches558
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%34.4%-1.1 pp
Draw30.6%35.3%+4.7 pp
Away33.8%30.3%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS50.2%

Historical average

1.131.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
1-013.1%
0-012.2%
0-19.5%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.714.59
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=558.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.546.1%
Over 10.533.9%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches208
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.7%25.8%–38.3% CI
Draw FT45.2%38.6%–52.0% CI
Away FT23.1%17.9%–29.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals33.2%
3+ goals14.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away41.3%