Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-01 · 19:30
14.0123.5%
X3.3927.8%
21.9448.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
LWDLLDLDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Frosinone
LWWWDWLWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.70
Against
4.70
8.30
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
0.80
3.10
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.50goals per match
Frosinone conceded0.80
Matchup

Frosinone attack

1.70goals per match
Spal conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.70
8.30
Match total
10.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.60
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
31.00
Match total
29.40

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
4.70
On target
4.70
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches189
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.5%26.5%+2.9 pp
Draw27.8%26.5%-1.4 pp
Away48.6%47.1%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS43.9%

Historical average

0.961.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.7%
1-012.2%
1-111.1%
0-011.1%
1-210.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.215.47
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=189.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%15.1%–33.6% CI
Draw FT41.0%30.8%–52.1% CI
Away FT35.9%26.1%–47.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.6%
Away50.0%