Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-01 · 19:30
12.9132.4%
X3.0830.6%
22.5437.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cagliari
LWDDDWWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Genoa
WWWLLDWWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.60
Against
4.30
10.10
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cagliari attack
1.60goals per matchGenoa conceded1.10Matchup
Genoa attack
1.30goals per matchCagliari conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.30
10.10
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.30
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.60
Match total
28.70
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.30
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches341
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.4%33.4%+1.1 pp
Draw30.6%32.3%+1.7 pp
Away37.1%34.3%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS49.0%
Historical average
1.11–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.2%
0-012.0%
0-110.9%
2-19.7%
1-09.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.65–4.65
Average total9.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=341.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.543.7%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.524.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.2%18.5%–33.3% CI
Draw FT49.6%41.2%–58.1% CI
Away FT25.2%18.5%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.7%
2+ goals33.6%
3+ goals10.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.3%
Away48.9%