Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-01 · 19:30
12.9132.4%
X3.0830.6%
22.5437.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LWDDDWWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Genoa
WWWLLDWWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.60
Against
4.30
10.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.60goals per match
Genoa conceded1.10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.30goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.30
10.10
Match total
8.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.30
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.60
Match total
28.70

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.30
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches341
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.4%33.4%+1.1 pp
Draw30.6%32.3%+1.7 pp
Away37.1%34.3%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.111.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
0-012.0%
0-110.9%
2-19.7%
1-09.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.654.65
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=341.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.543.7%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.2%18.5%–33.3% CI
Draw FT49.6%41.2%–58.1% CI
Away FT25.2%18.5%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.7%
2+ goals33.6%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.3%
Away48.9%