Serie B · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 15:15
12.3939.4%
X3.1030.4%
23.1130.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ascoli
DLLWLDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Benevento
LDLWDWDDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.60
Against
5.30
7.70
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
2.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ascoli attack

0.90goals per match
Benevento conceded1.10
Matchup

Benevento attack

0.90goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.30
7.70
Match total
9.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.10
Match total
6.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
31.50
Match total
29.90

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.60
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches724
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.4%38.0%-1.4 pp
Draw30.4%32.9%+2.5 pp
Away30.3%29.1%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.191.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
1-011.7%
0-011.3%
0-110.1%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.45
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=724.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.526.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches265
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.7%23.6%–34.4% CI
Draw FT46.4%40.5%–52.4% CI
Away FT24.9%20.1%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.8%
Away45.3%