Serie B · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 15:15
13.3328.2%
X3.0830.5%
22.2841.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Modena
WLWWLDDDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Genoa
LWWWLLDWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.70
Against
3.90
9.40
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Modena attack

1.90goals per match
Genoa conceded1.00
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.10goals per match
Modena conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.90
9.40
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.60
Match total
5.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.60
Match total
28.90

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches268
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%25.4%-2.9 pp
Draw30.5%32.5%+1.9 pp
Away41.2%42.2%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

0.981.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
0-113.4%
0-010.8%
1-010.4%
0-29.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.285.04
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=268.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.533.2%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.2%12.0%–29.3% CI
Draw FT51.3%40.4%–62.1% CI
Away FT29.5%20.5%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.8%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals9.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.9%
Away46.2%