Serie B · 2021/22
2022-05-06 · 19:30
11.5660.0%
X4.1622.5%
25.3417.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benevento
WWDLWDWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Spal
LDLDLWDDLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.00
Against
5.10
10.10
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Benevento attack

2.10goals per match
Spal conceded1.90
Matchup

Spal attack

0.80goals per match
Benevento conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.10
10.10
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.60
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
26.50
Match total
30.00

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.80
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches125
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.0%60.8%+0.8 pp
Draw22.5%17.6%-4.9 pp
Away17.5%21.6%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.537.6%
BTTS58.4%

Historical average

2.061.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.0%
1-111.2%
2-19.6%
1-28.0%
2-06.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.70
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=125.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.6%35.8%–70.5% CI
Draw FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI
Away FT10.7%3.7%–27.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away46.4%