Serie B · 2021/22
2022-04-18 · 17:00
12.0645.3%
X3.2628.6%
23.5926.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Parma
DLDWLWDDDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Ascoli
WLWWWLLWLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.60
Against
5.10
10.80
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Parma attack
1.80goals per matchAscoli conceded1.60Matchup
Ascoli attack
1.40goals per matchParma conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.10
10.80
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.90
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.60N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
32.30
Match total
29.70
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.70
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches376
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.3%42.3%-3.0 pp
Draw28.6%32.2%+3.5 pp
Away26.0%25.5%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS56.4%
Historical average
1.39–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.6%
1-011.4%
2-19.8%
0-08.2%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.23–4.39
Average total9.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=376.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches126
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.9%27.2%–43.6% CI
Draw FT44.4%36.1%–53.2% CI
Away FT20.6%14.5%–28.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals10.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.7%
Away44.4%