Serie B · 2021/22
2022-04-18 · 11:30
11.9647.7%
X3.3527.9%
23.8224.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
LLDDLWDLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Crotone
LDDLLLLLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.90
Against
5.00
8.40
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.70
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.10goals per match
Crotone conceded1.90
Matchup

Crotone attack

0.90goals per match
Spal conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.00
8.40
Match total
9.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
18.10N=10
30.80
Match total
31.30

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.00
On target
3.50
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches494
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%48.8%+1.1 pp
Draw27.9%27.7%-0.2 pp
Away24.5%23.5%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.541.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
1-012.8%
2-110.3%
0-08.3%
0-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.534.40
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=494.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches173
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.5%33.4%–47.9% CI
Draw FT35.3%28.5%–42.6% CI
Away FT24.3%18.5%–31.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.9%
Away43.4%