Serie B · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 14:30
12.8233.2%
X3.1130.1%
22.5536.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
LDLLWDLDDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Perugia
WLDDDWWWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.80
Against
5.50
10.40
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.10goals per match
Perugia conceded1.30
Matchup

Perugia attack

1.40goals per match
Crotone conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.50
10.40
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.00
Match total
6.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
20.50N=10
27.80
Match total
34.50

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
4.50
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches388
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.2%30.7%-2.5 pp
Draw30.1%32.0%+1.9 pp
Away36.7%37.4%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.121.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
0-114.2%
2-110.1%
0-09.8%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.784.85
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=388.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.524.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches135
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.4%20.6%–35.5% CI
Draw FT41.5%33.5%–49.9% CI
Away FT31.1%23.9%–39.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.7%
Away51.9%