Serie B · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 15:15
12.4837.7%
X3.2029.2%
22.8333.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
DLLLLDDLWD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Ascoli
LDWWLWWWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.80
Against
5.10
10.00
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.20goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.40
Matchup

Ascoli attack

1.50goals per match
Spal conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.10
10.00
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
31.40
Match total
28.20

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.50
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches353
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%33.1%-4.6 pp
Draw29.2%33.7%+4.5 pp
Away33.1%33.1%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

1.191.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.4%
1-09.9%
0-19.3%
0-08.2%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.65
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=352.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.7%22.0%–38.8% CI
Draw FT46.8%37.8%–56.1% CI
Away FT23.4%16.5%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.3%
Away46.8%