Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-10 · 13:00
11.7055.0%
X3.6125.9%
24.9119.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
DDLDWWLDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Brescia
LLDDWWLDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.00
Against
7.00
10.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.20goals per match
Brescia conceded1.30
Matchup

Brescia attack

1.30goals per match
Monza conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.00
10.90
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.60
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
18.10N=10
33.00
Match total
29.70

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
3.50
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.0%60.7%+5.7 pp
Draw25.9%25.0%-0.9 pp
Away19.1%14.3%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS48.2%

Historical average

1.710.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.1%
2-114.3%
1-19.8%
2-08.9%
2-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.044.03
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.5%42.2%–71.5% CI
Draw FT25.0%14.2%–40.2% CI
Away FT17.5%8.7%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals22.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.5%
Away42.5%