Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-10 · 13:00
11.7055.0%
X3.6125.9%
24.9119.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monza
DDLDWWLDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Brescia
LLDDWWLDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.00
Against
7.00
10.90
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monza attack
1.20goals per matchBrescia conceded1.30Matchup
Brescia attack
1.30goals per matchMonza conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.00
10.90
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.60
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
18.10N=10
33.00
Match total
29.70
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
3.50
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.0%60.7%+5.7 pp
Draw25.9%25.0%-0.9 pp
Away19.1%14.3%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS48.2%
Historical average
1.71–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.1%
2-114.3%
1-19.8%
2-08.9%
2-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.04–4.03
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.5%42.2%–71.5% CI
Draw FT25.0%14.2%–40.2% CI
Away FT17.5%8.7%–31.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals22.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.5%
Away42.5%