Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-10 · 13:00
12.1643.3%
X3.2728.6%
23.3228.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Empoli
WWDDDWWWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Lecce
WDWDWWWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
8.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.80
Against
4.40
11.80
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
3.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Empoli attack
2.40goals per matchLecce conceded0.70Matchup
Lecce attack
1.80goals per matchEmpoli conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.40
11.80
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.40
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
25.70
Match total
29.70
Shots
19.50N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
6.10
On target
3.70
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%41.9%-1.3 pp
Draw28.6%19.4%-9.2 pp
Away28.2%38.7%+10.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS45.2%
Historical average
1.32–1.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.1%
1-112.9%
0-39.7%
0-19.7%
2-36.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–4.61
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.535.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away30.0%