Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-10 · 13:00
11.4962.9%
X3.8824.2%
27.2412.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chievo
WWWLWLDDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Ascoli
DLWLDDWLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.30
Against
4.60
10.70
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chievo attack
1.40goals per matchAscoli conceded1.20Matchup
Ascoli attack
1.20goals per matchChievo conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.60
10.70
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.60N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
32.10
Match total
33.00
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
3.60
On target
6.30
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.9%70.0%+7.1 pp
Draw24.2%20.0%-4.2 pp
Away12.9%10.0%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS42.9%
Historical average
1.86–0.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-022.9%
2-010.0%
1-110.0%
2-110.0%
0-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.79–3.56
Average total10.34
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.9%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.537.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.2%35.1%–72.1% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Away FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away41.7%