Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-07 · 13:00
12.9431.9%
X3.0530.7%
22.5137.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reggiana
LWWWDLDDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Spal
WDDDDWLDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.90
Against
6.30
9.30
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Reggiana attack

0.90goals per match
Spal conceded1.30
Matchup

Spal attack

1.10goals per match
Reggiana conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.30
9.30
Match total
11.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.30
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
31.00
Match total
31.60

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.00
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%28.3%-3.6 pp
Draw30.7%37.7%+7.0 pp
Away37.4%34.0%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.514.5%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

1.021.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
0-014.5%
0-113.2%
1-08.8%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.704.74
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=159.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.534.0%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.6%15.8%–36.3% CI
Draw FT50.8%38.9%–62.5% CI
Away FT24.6%15.8%–36.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.6%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.5%
Away46.2%