Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-07 · 13:00
12.9431.9%
X3.0530.7%
22.5137.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reggiana
LWWWDLDDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Spal
WDDDDWLDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.90
Against
6.30
9.30
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reggiana attack
0.90goals per matchSpal conceded1.30Matchup
Spal attack
1.10goals per matchReggiana conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.30
9.30
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.30
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.80N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
31.00
Match total
31.60
Shots
9.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.00
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%28.3%-3.6 pp
Draw30.7%37.7%+7.0 pp
Away37.4%34.0%-3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.514.5%
BTTS45.9%
Historical average
1.02–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.6%
0-014.5%
0-113.2%
1-08.8%
2-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.70–4.74
Average total9.44
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=159.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.534.0%
Over 11.525.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.6%15.8%–36.3% CI
Draw FT50.8%38.9%–62.5% CI
Away FT24.6%15.8%–36.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.6%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.5%
Away46.2%