Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-07 · 13:00
11.7254.6%
X3.4926.9%
25.0618.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DDLDWDWWLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Reggina
LDWDWDLWDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.40
Against
6.10
10.20
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.60goals per match
Reggina conceded0.90
Matchup

Reggina attack

1.40goals per match
Lecce conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.10
10.20
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.30
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
19.10N=10
24.40
Match total
33.80

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.60
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches91
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%61.5%+7.0 pp
Draw26.9%25.3%-1.6 pp
Away18.5%13.2%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.760.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.5%
0-013.2%
1-012.1%
1-111.0%
2-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.934.23
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=91.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.7%21.9%–54.5% CI
Draw FT53.3%36.1%–69.8% CI
Away FT10.0%3.5%–25.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away26.7%