Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-07 · 13:00
12.7633.9%
X2.9431.8%
22.7334.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ascoli
DWDLLDDWWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Cittadella
LLDWDDLLDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.50N=10
5.10
Against
5.70
10.20
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
1.70
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ascoli attack

0.90goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.10
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.00goals per match
Ascoli conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.70
10.20
Match total
12.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.70
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
17.60N=10
33.40
Match total
31.70

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
3.60
On target
4.50
6%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%29.2%-4.7 pp
Draw31.8%30.1%-1.7 pp
Away34.3%40.7%+6.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.511.5%
BTTS42.5%

Historical average

0.951.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-012.4%
1-212.4%
0-111.5%
0-011.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.644.49
Average total9.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.531.9%
Over 11.523.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.2%18.6%–45.1% CI
Draw FT41.9%28.4%–56.7% CI
Away FT27.9%16.7%–42.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.8%
2+ goals32.6%
3+ goals7.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away44.2%