Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-04 · 13:00
12.2441.9%
X3.0630.7%
23.4227.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
LWDLDLDWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Frosinone
DLDDWLWDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.30
Against
4.50
9.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.10goals per match
Frosinone conceded1.40
Matchup

Frosinone attack

0.70goals per match
Spal conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.50
9.80
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.80
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
32.60
Match total
32.30

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.30
On target
3.00
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches313
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%42.8%+0.9 pp
Draw30.7%34.2%+3.5 pp
Away27.4%23.0%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.517.3%
BTTS46.6%

Historical average

1.250.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
1-014.4%
0-011.8%
2-09.3%
0-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.984.30
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=313.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.542.8%
Over 10.533.2%
Over 11.522.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.1%25.4%–41.7% CI
Draw FT46.0%37.4%–54.7% CI
Away FT21.0%14.7%–29.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals11.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away41.9%