Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-04 · 13:00
12.4937.6%
X3.0131.1%
23.0031.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
WDDLDWWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Lecce
DWDWDWWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.00
1.10
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.70
Against
4.70
10.70
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.40goals per match
Lecce conceded0.80
Matchup

Lecce attack

2.00goals per match
Monza conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.70
10.70
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.70
Match total
5.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
32.50
Match total
28.80

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.30
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.6%31.9%-5.7 pp
Draw31.1%43.5%+12.3 pp
Away31.2%24.6%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.231.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-020.3%
1-115.9%
1-210.1%
0-17.2%
1-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.43
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.5%8.2%–36.7% CI
Draw FT66.7%47.8%–81.4% CI
Away FT14.8%5.9%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

0.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal48.1%
2+ goals25.9%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.0%
Away37.0%