Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-04 · 13:00
12.4937.6%
X3.0131.1%
23.0031.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monza
WDDLDWWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Lecce
DWDWDWWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
2.00
1.10
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.70
Against
4.70
10.70
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monza attack
1.40goals per matchLecce conceded0.80Matchup
Lecce attack
2.00goals per matchMonza conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.70
10.70
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.70
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.30N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
32.50
Match total
28.80
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.30
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.6%31.9%-5.7 pp
Draw31.1%43.5%+12.3 pp
Away31.2%24.6%-6.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS53.6%
Historical average
1.23–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-020.3%
1-115.9%
1-210.1%
0-17.2%
1-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.94–4.43
Average total9.38
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.524.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.5%8.2%–36.7% CI
Draw FT66.7%47.8%–81.4% CI
Away FT14.8%5.9%–32.5% CI
Remaining goals
0.89
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal48.1%
2+ goals25.9%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.0%
Away37.0%