Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-04 · 13:00
11.3967.3%
X4.5120.7%
27.8411.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cittadella
DWDDLLWDDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Virtus Entella
WLLLLDDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.50
Against
6.90
10.60
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
1.80
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cittadella attack
0.90goals per matchVirtus Entella conceded1.30Matchup
Virtus Entella attack
0.60goals per matchCittadella conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.90
10.60
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.40
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.80N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
32.60
Match total
32.00
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.50
On target
2.10
7%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.3%82.9%+15.6 pp
Draw20.7%9.8%-11.0 pp
Away11.9%7.3%-4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS29.3%
Historical average
2.17–0.46
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-024.4%
1-017.1%
3-012.2%
2-19.8%
4-04.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.44–3.80
Average total10.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.2%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT85.7%60.1%–96.0% CI
Draw FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home85.7%
Away14.3%