Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 13:00
11.8151.8%
X3.4427.3%
24.4820.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
WDDLDWDWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Cittadella
WLLDWDDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
6.60N=10
4.00
Against
4.80
9.40
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.70goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.00
Matchup

Cittadella attack

0.90goals per match
Lecce conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.80
9.40
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.00
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
18.90N=10
25.10
Match total
33.40

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
4.70
On target
4.40
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%51.1%-0.7 pp
Draw27.3%23.9%-3.4 pp
Away20.9%25.0%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.529.5%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

1.631.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.6%
2-012.5%
1-110.2%
0-18.0%
1-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.52
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.535.2%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI
Draw FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Away FT15.6%6.9%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals34.4%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.6%
Away37.5%