Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 13:00
11.8151.8%
X3.4427.3%
24.4820.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lecce
WDDLDWDWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Cittadella
WLLDWDDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
6.60N=10
4.00
Against
4.80
9.40
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lecce attack
1.70goals per matchCittadella conceded1.00Matchup
Cittadella attack
0.90goals per matchLecce conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.80
9.40
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.00
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
18.90N=10
25.10
Match total
33.40
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
4.70
On target
4.40
12%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%51.1%-0.7 pp
Draw27.3%23.9%-3.4 pp
Away20.9%25.0%+4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.529.5%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
1.63–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.6%
2-012.5%
1-110.2%
0-18.0%
1-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.56–4.52
Average total10.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.535.2%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI
Draw FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Away FT15.6%6.9%–31.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals34.4%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.6%
Away37.5%