Serie B · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 13:00
12.5037.5%
X2.9631.6%
23.0330.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brescia
LLLDWLWWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Spal
LWDDDDWLDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
6.20
Against
6.00
11.30
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brescia attack

1.40goals per match
Spal conceded1.20
Matchup

Spal attack

1.00goals per match
Brescia conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.00
11.30
Match total
11.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
27.10
Match total
32.20

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%26.0%-11.4 pp
Draw31.6%46.6%+14.9 pp
Away30.9%27.4%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.221.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-019.2%
1-117.8%
1-211.0%
0-16.8%
2-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.36
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.1%7.1%–32.6% CI
Draw FT61.3%43.8%–76.3% CI
Away FT22.6%11.4%–39.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal54.8%
2+ goals29.0%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.5%
Away38.7%