Serie B · 2020/21
2021-04-16 · 20:00
12.2441.9%
X2.9831.5%
23.5226.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
WLWDLDLDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Ascoli
LLDLWLDDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.60
Against
4.70
10.40
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.10goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.30
Matchup

Ascoli attack

0.90goals per match
Spal conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.70
10.40
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.80
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
31.50
Match total
31.20

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
3.40
On target
5.50
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches211
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%47.9%+6.0 pp
Draw31.5%28.9%-2.6 pp
Away26.6%23.2%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS44.1%

Historical average

1.270.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-019.0%
1-112.8%
0-011.4%
2-09.5%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.974.20
Average total9.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=211.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.540.3%
Over 10.528.9%
Over 11.519.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.9%31.2%–51.4% CI
Draw FT39.8%30.2%–50.2% CI
Away FT19.3%12.4%–28.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals31.8%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.7%
Away38.6%