Serie B · 2020/21
2021-04-16 · 20:00
12.2441.9%
X2.9831.5%
23.5226.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spal
WLWDLDLDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Ascoli
LLDLWLDDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.60
Against
4.70
10.40
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spal attack
1.10goals per matchAscoli conceded1.30Matchup
Ascoli attack
0.90goals per matchSpal conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.70
10.40
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.80
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.90N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
31.50
Match total
31.20
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
3.40
On target
5.50
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches211
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%47.9%+6.0 pp
Draw31.5%28.9%-2.6 pp
Away26.6%23.2%-3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS44.1%
Historical average
1.27–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-019.0%
1-112.8%
0-011.4%
2-09.5%
2-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.97–4.20
Average total9.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=211.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.540.3%
Over 10.528.9%
Over 11.519.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.9%31.2%–51.4% CI
Draw FT39.8%30.2%–50.2% CI
Away FT19.3%12.4%–28.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals31.8%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.7%
Away38.6%