Serie B · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 13:00
11.8351.2%
X3.4127.5%
24.3821.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
LWDDLDWDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Spal
DLWDDDDWLD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.20
Against
5.80
9.90
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.60goals per match
Spal conceded1.10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.80goals per match
Lecce conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.80
9.90
Match total
11.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
24.80
Match total
32.00

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.60
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.2%49.4%-1.8 pp
Draw27.5%27.8%+0.4 pp
Away21.4%22.8%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.471.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.2%
1-112.0%
2-111.4%
2-09.5%
0-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.63
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=158.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.4%29.6%–54.2% CI
Draw FT29.3%19.2%–42.0% CI
Away FT29.3%19.2%–42.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals15.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.6%
Away43.1%