Serie B · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 13:00
13.6425.8%
X3.1929.4%
22.0944.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ascoli
WWDWDLLDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Monza
LWDWDWWDLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.70
Against
4.50
10.60
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ascoli attack

1.00goals per match
Monza conceded0.90
Matchup

Monza attack

1.20goals per match
Ascoli conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.50
10.60
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.60
Match total
6.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
33.80
Match total
33.90

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.50
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.8%37.9%+12.2 pp
Draw29.4%27.6%-1.8 pp
Away44.9%34.5%-10.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.281.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
1-010.3%
2-110.3%
0-26.9%
0-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.694.90
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away58.8%