Serie B · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 13:00
13.6425.8%
X3.1929.4%
22.0944.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ascoli
WWDWDLLDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Monza
LWDWDWWDLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.70
Against
4.50
10.60
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ascoli attack
1.00goals per matchMonza conceded0.90Matchup
Monza attack
1.20goals per matchAscoli conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.50
10.60
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.60
Match total
6.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.70N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
33.80
Match total
33.90
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.50
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.8%37.9%+12.2 pp
Draw29.4%27.6%-1.8 pp
Away44.9%34.5%-10.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS55.2%
Historical average
1.28–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.2%
1-010.3%
2-110.3%
0-26.9%
0-16.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.69–4.90
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.534.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.9%
Away58.8%