Serie B · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 18:00
12.3639.5%
X3.0730.4%
23.1030.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
DWLWDLDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Venezia
WDDLDWWDDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
6.90N=10
4.70
Against
5.60
10.20
Total
12.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.00goals per match
Venezia conceded0.80
Matchup

Venezia attack

1.30goals per match
Spal conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.60
10.20
Match total
12.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.50
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
31.50
Match total
31.90

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.60
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches289
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%39.4%-0.1 pp
Draw30.4%32.9%+2.5 pp
Away30.1%27.7%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.201.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.6%
1-013.8%
0-010.7%
0-110.4%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.894.45
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=289.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.522.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches113
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%23.2%–40.0% CI
Draw FT40.7%32.1%–49.9% CI
Away FT28.3%20.8%–37.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals34.5%
3+ goals16.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.1%
Away45.1%