Serie B · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 17:00
12.6435.4%
X2.9831.4%
22.8133.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spal
WDWLWDLDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Cittadella
LWLWLLDWDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.60
Against
4.00
10.20
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spal attack
1.30goals per matchCittadella conceded1.00Matchup
Cittadella attack
1.10goals per matchSpal conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.00
10.20
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.50
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.90N=10
Committed
19.10N=10
30.20
Match total
33.40
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
4.00
On target
4.10
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches181
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%30.9%-4.5 pp
Draw31.4%35.4%+4.0 pp
Away33.3%33.7%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS49.7%
Historical average
1.13–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
0-012.7%
1-010.5%
0-110.5%
1-28.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–4.26
Average total9.41
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=180.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.547.2%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.525.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.2%15.5%–35.8% CI
Draw FT48.5%36.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT27.3%18.0%–39.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.2%
2+ goals30.3%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.4%
Away42.4%