Serie B · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 17:00
12.6435.4%
X2.9831.4%
22.8133.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
WDWLWDLDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Cittadella
LWLWLLDWDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.60
Against
4.00
10.20
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.30goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.00
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.10goals per match
Spal conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.00
10.20
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.50
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
19.10N=10
30.20
Match total
33.40

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
4.00
On target
4.10
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches181
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%30.9%-4.5 pp
Draw31.4%35.4%+4.0 pp
Away33.3%33.7%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.131.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
0-012.7%
1-010.5%
0-110.5%
1-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.26
Average total9.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=180.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.547.2%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.525.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.2%15.5%–35.8% CI
Draw FT48.5%36.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT27.3%18.0%–39.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.2%
2+ goals30.3%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.4%
Away42.4%