Serie B · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 13:00
13.1529.6%
X3.0530.6%
22.3439.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Frosinone
LWDDLDLDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Lecce
WDLDWDWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.50
Against
4.70
9.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Frosinone attack

0.90goals per match
Lecce conceded1.00
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.70goals per match
Frosinone conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.70
9.90
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Match total
5.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
29.50
Match total
28.50

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
4.00
On target
4.50
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.6%29.5%-0.1 pp
Draw30.6%24.6%-6.0 pp
Away39.8%45.9%+6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.519.7%
BTTS37.7%

Historical average

0.931.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.4%
1-111.5%
0-211.5%
2-09.8%
1-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.745.41
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Draw FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI
Away FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals31.8%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.8%
Away45.5%