Serie B · 2020/21
2021-03-16 · 18:00
11.4365.4%
X4.1822.4%
27.6712.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
WDWWWDDLDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Reggiana
WLDLLLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.60
0.60
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.30
Against
6.90
10.50
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.70goals per match
Reggiana conceded1.50
Matchup

Reggiana attack

0.60goals per match
Monza conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.90
10.50
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
4.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
31.20
Match total
32.00

Shots

18.60N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
6.00
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.4%75.0%+9.6 pp
Draw22.4%8.3%-14.0 pp
Away12.2%16.7%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS16.7%

Historical average

1.750.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-033.3%
0-116.7%
4-08.3%
3-08.3%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

8.753.33
Average total12.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.5100.0%
Over 9.583.3%
Over 10.575.0%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals23.1%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away30.8%