Serie B · 2020/21
2021-03-16 · 18:00
12.2142.3%
X2.8932.3%
23.6825.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chievo
WDDWWWWLWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Frosinone
DWLDLDDWLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.50
Against
5.60
9.50
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chievo attack
1.70goals per matchFrosinone conceded1.50Matchup
Frosinone attack
1.10goals per matchChievo conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.60
9.50
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
31.30
Match total
30.30
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.20
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%49.2%+7.0 pp
Draw32.3%30.8%-1.6 pp
Away25.4%20.0%-5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.516.2%
BTTS43.8%
Historical average
1.42–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
2-013.8%
1-012.3%
0-010.8%
0-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.98–3.74
Average total8.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=130.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.546.9%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.526.9%
Over 11.517.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.5%20.7%–44.7% CI
Draw FT44.4%32.0%–57.6% CI
Away FT24.1%14.6%–36.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.7%
Away46.3%