Serie B · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 13:00
12.3639.7%
X3.0730.5%
23.1429.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DDLWDDLDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Chievo
DLDDWDDDLL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
8.30N=10
4.10
Against
2.70
10.20
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.40goals per match
Chievo conceded1.00
Matchup

Chievo attack

0.90goals per match
Lecce conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
8.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
2.70
10.20
Match total
11.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
100%10/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.80
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
25.90
Match total
28.30

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
4.00
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches244
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%36.5%-3.2 pp
Draw30.5%33.2%+2.7 pp
Away29.8%30.3%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.251.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
1-010.2%
0-19.8%
0-09.4%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.954.84
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=244.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.0%15.8%–32.2% CI
Draw FT47.0%37.5%–56.7% CI
Away FT30.0%21.9%–39.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals49.0%
3+ goals18.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.0%
Away59.0%