Serie B · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 13:00
13.2428.9%
X3.0131.1%
22.3440.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ascoli
DLLWWDWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Venezia
DDWDDLDWWD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.90
Against
5.40
9.50
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ascoli attack

0.80goals per match
Venezia conceded1.00
Matchup

Venezia attack

1.20goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.40
9.50
Match total
11.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.70
Match total
4.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
34.00
Match total
28.30

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.60
On target
4.30
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches81
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.9%30.9%+2.0 pp
Draw31.1%27.2%-3.9 pp
Away40.0%42.0%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS37.0%

Historical average

0.951.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.0%
0-114.8%
1-113.6%
0-212.3%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.335.26
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Draw FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Away FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals4.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.5%
Away54.2%