Serie B · 2020/21
2021-03-12 · 18:00
11.8949.6%
X3.2129.2%
24.4421.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cittadella
DWWWDWDDLL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Pisa
DWLWDDLLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
2.00
1.40
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.20
Against
5.60
10.20
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cittadella attack
1.30goals per matchPisa conceded1.50Matchup
Pisa attack
1.70goals per matchCittadella conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.60
10.20
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.80N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
32.70
Match total
33.00
Shots
14.60N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
5.90
On target
4.60
9%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%49.4%-0.3 pp
Draw29.2%23.4%-5.9 pp
Away21.1%27.3%+6.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS50.6%
Historical average
1.62–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.7%
1-111.7%
1-29.1%
3-07.8%
0-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.86–3.70
Average total9.56
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Draw FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Away FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals8.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.8%
Away52.2%