Serie B · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 13:00
12.6135.8%
X2.9631.6%
22.8732.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Virtus Entella
LLLLWWWLLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Ascoli
LLDLLDLWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.20
Against
5.10
10.00
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Virtus Entella attack
1.20goals per matchAscoli conceded1.60Matchup
Ascoli attack
1.00goals per matchVirtus Entella conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.10
10.00
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.80
Match total
5.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.30N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
31.80
Match total
31.90
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.10
On target
5.50
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches150
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%30.7%-5.2 pp
Draw31.6%36.0%+4.4 pp
Away32.6%33.3%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS51.3%
Historical average
1.17–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-013.3%
1-112.7%
0-110.0%
1-29.3%
1-09.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.25–4.17
Average total9.42
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=149.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.547.0%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%13.2%–34.9% CI
Draw FT51.9%38.9%–64.6% CI
Away FT25.9%16.1%–38.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.0%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.7%
Away42.6%