Serie B · 2020/21
2021-03-02 · 18:00
12.8732.6%
X3.0031.2%
22.5836.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
WWWWDWLWDD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Spal
LWWLDLWDDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.78
1H goals
0.80
1.22
2H goals
1.20
89%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.11N=9
For
4.90N=10
5.22
Against
5.30
8.33
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/9 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.40goals per match
Spal conceded1.10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.90goals per match
Salernitana conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=9 N=10
0.56
1H goals scored
0.50
0.22
1H goals conceded
0.30
56%5/9
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
33%3/9
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.67
2H goals scored
0.40
0.56
2H goals conceded
0.80
89%8/9
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
56%5/9
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=9 N=10
3.11N=9
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.22
Corners against
5.30
8.33
Match total
10.20
56%5/9
Over 8.5
60%6/10
44%4/9
Over 9.5
60%6/10
22%2/9
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.22N=9
For
2.10N=10
5.89
Match total
4.90
78%7/9
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

17.67N=9
Committed
14.20N=10
33.44
Match total
31.10

Shots

10.56N=9
Shots
11.90N=10
3.11
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches153
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%32.0%-0.6 pp
Draw31.2%35.3%+4.1 pp
Away36.2%32.7%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.515.0%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

1.051.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
0-013.1%
0-111.1%
2-19.8%
1-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.554.54
Average total9.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=153.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.2%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.530.1%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.6%17.3%–38.5% CI
Draw FT46.9%35.2%–58.9% CI
Away FT26.6%17.3%–38.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals7.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away46.9%