Serie B · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 15:00
11.8151.7%
X3.1429.8%
25.0518.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
LWWDWWWDDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Cittadella
LWLWLWLLDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.50
Against
3.10
10.60
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.80goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.30
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.50goals per match
Monza conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.10
10.60
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.60
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
19.30N=10
30.30
Match total
33.70

Shots

18.70N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
6.40
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.7%50.0%-1.7 pp
Draw29.8%27.3%-2.5 pp
Away18.5%22.7%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.681.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.6%
0-013.6%
2-19.1%
0-19.1%
3-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.773.91
Average total8.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.536.4%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.513.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away40.0%