Serie B · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 13:00
12.1244.1%
X3.0330.8%
23.7325.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
WWWDWLWDLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Reggina
DLLLDWLDWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.40
Against
6.80
9.50
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.60goals per match
Reggina conceded1.50
Matchup

Reggina attack

1.00goals per match
Spal conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.80
9.50
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.30
Match total
6.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
18.90N=10
30.50
Match total
34.20

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.1%45.5%+1.4 pp
Draw30.8%36.4%+5.5 pp
Away25.1%18.2%-6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS41.3%

Historical average

1.220.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
1-016.8%
0-016.1%
2-011.9%
2-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.064.38
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.520.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.2%25.1%–49.1% CI
Draw FT50.0%37.5%–62.5% CI
Away FT13.8%7.2%–24.9% CI

Remaining goals

0.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.3%
2+ goals27.6%
3+ goals3.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.3%
Away25.9%