Serie B · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 13:00
11.5958.8%
X3.7125.2%
25.8616.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cittadella
WLDWWWDWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Reggiana
LLLWLDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.33
1.30
2H goals
1.22
80%
Goal in 2H
78%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.78N=9
5.00
Against
5.44
10.70
Total
9.22
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
2.20
2.40
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cittadella attack
1.60goals per matchReggiana conceded2.20Matchup
Reggiana attack
0.40goals per matchCittadella conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=9
0.60
1H goals scored
0.11
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.22
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.33
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.89
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=9
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.78N=9
5.00
Corners against
5.44
10.70
Match total
9.22
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.78N=9
4.40
Match total
5.11
Over 3.5
Fouls
19.80N=10
Committed
15.00N=9
34.20
Match total
30.00
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
10.00N=9
6.20
On target
3.56
11%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.8%61.1%+2.3 pp
Draw25.2%18.5%-6.7 pp
Away16.0%20.4%+4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
1.65–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.7%
2-016.7%
3-17.4%
2-17.4%
1-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.94–4.17
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.538.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away46.7%