Serie B · 2020/21
2021-02-12 · 20:00
11.6556.7%
X3.5026.7%
25.6716.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
DLWWDWWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Pisa
LLDWLWDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.90
1.30
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.80
Against
5.10
11.10
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
2.20
2.40
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.80goals per match
Pisa conceded2.20
Matchup

Pisa attack

1.50goals per match
Monza conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.10
11.10
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
29.90
Match total
30.20

Shots

18.60N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
6.70
On target
4.40
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.7%61.8%+5.0 pp
Draw26.7%32.4%+5.6 pp
Away16.5%5.9%-10.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.511.8%
BTTS47.1%

Historical average

1.500.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.6%
1-017.6%
2-014.7%
2-114.7%
0-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.354.00
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.5%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.538.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.9%
Away23.1%