Serie B · 2020/21
2021-02-09 · 18:00
11.7254.5%
X3.7025.3%
24.6420.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DWWDDLWDDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Brescia
LLWLDDDWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
1.60
90%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.40
Against
4.60
11.80
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.70
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

2.10goals per match
Brescia conceded1.60
Matchup

Brescia attack

1.10goals per match
Lecce conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.60
11.80
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.70
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
24.50
Match total
30.40

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.70
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.5%58.5%+4.0 pp
Draw25.3%24.6%-0.7 pp
Away20.2%16.9%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.536.9%
BTTS64.6%

Historical average

1.921.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.8%
2-012.3%
1-112.3%
1-09.2%
3-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.494.46
Average total10.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.5%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away40.0%