Serie B · 2019/20
2020-07-31 · 20:00
12.7134.4%
X2.8033.3%
22.8932.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Venezia
LDLDDLWLDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Perugia
DLWLLWLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.90
Against
5.20
9.30
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Venezia attack
1.00goals per matchPerugia conceded1.30Matchup
Perugia attack
1.00goals per matchVenezia conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.20
9.30
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.50
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.40N=10
Committed
17.70N=10
33.20
Match total
33.10
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
3.60
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%37.5%+3.1 pp
Draw33.3%50.0%+16.7 pp
Away32.3%12.5%-19.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS62.5%
Historical average
1.50–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-137.5%
0-012.5%
4-212.5%
3-16.3%
2-06.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–3.38
Average total8.56
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.537.5%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.512.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away40.9%