Serie B · 2019/20
2020-07-31 · 20:00
11.8051.8%
X3.8724.1%
23.8624.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Trapani
DWLDWDWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Crotone
WWLLWWDDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
2.00
0.90
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.90
1.70
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
6.30N=10
2.80
Against
4.30
7.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Trapani attack

1.80goals per match
Crotone conceded1.20
Matchup

Crotone attack

2.00goals per match
Trapani conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.30
7.20
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
4.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.30N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
32.20
Match total
32.30

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
4.40
On target
5.50
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%42.9%-8.9 pp
Draw24.1%33.3%+9.3 pp
Away24.1%23.8%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS76.2%

Historical average

1.811.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.0%
2-114.3%
1-214.3%
2-29.5%
4-04.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.865.57
Average total11.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.0%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Draw FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Away FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.6%
Away41.2%