Serie B · 2019/20
2020-07-31 · 20:00
11.8550.6%
X3.5226.6%
24.0922.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
WWWWWDDWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Spezia
DWWDLLWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.00
Against
4.20
8.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
3.30
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

2.20goals per match
Spezia conceded1.10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.30goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.20
8.80
Match total
9.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.50
Match total
4.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
33.60
Match total
31.60

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.50
On target
4.20
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.6%49.5%-1.0 pp
Draw26.6%24.3%-2.3 pp
Away22.9%26.2%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

1.421.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.0%
0-111.2%
2-110.3%
1-110.3%
2-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.87
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.8%
Over 9.558.9%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.2%28.7%–59.1% CI
Draw FT27.0%15.4%–43.0% CI
Away FT29.7%17.5%–45.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals29.7%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.1%
Away45.9%