Serie B · 2019/20
2020-07-27 · 20:00
13.0131.0%
X3.2029.1%
22.3439.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
WWLWWWDWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Frosinone
LDWWWDDLLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
10%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.40
Against
3.80
8.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
1.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.80goals per match
Frosinone conceded0.80
Matchup

Frosinone attack

0.70goals per match
Crotone conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.80
8.20
Match total
8.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.20
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
17.30N=10
32.50
Match total
33.20

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.80
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%28.1%-2.9 pp
Draw29.1%31.3%+2.1 pp
Away39.9%40.6%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS57.8%

Historical average

1.111.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
1-012.5%
1-212.5%
0-17.8%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.115.13
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals26.7%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away40.0%