Serie B · 2019/20
2020-07-17 · 20:00
11.8849.7%
X3.3328.1%
24.2122.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cittadella
WDLLLWDLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Ascoli
LLLLWLLLLW
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.40
Against
5.30
10.90
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.40goals per match
Ascoli conceded2.10
Matchup

Ascoli attack

1.00goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.30
10.90
Match total
8.90
100%10/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.60
Match total
5.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

17.70N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
31.60
Match total
29.00

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.80
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.7%53.8%+4.1 pp
Draw28.1%21.4%-6.7 pp
Away22.2%24.8%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.551.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.2%
1-016.2%
1-18.5%
1-27.7%
2-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.644.61
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.534.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%26.4%–57.8% CI
Draw FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI
Away FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away50.0%