Serie B · 2019/20
2020-07-17 · 20:00
11.8849.7%
X3.3328.1%
24.2122.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cittadella
WDLLLWDLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Ascoli
LLLLWLLLLW
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.40
Against
5.30
10.90
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cittadella attack
1.40goals per matchAscoli conceded2.10Matchup
Ascoli attack
1.00goals per matchCittadella conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.30
10.90
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.60
Match total
5.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.70N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
31.60
Match total
29.00
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.80
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.7%53.8%+4.1 pp
Draw28.1%21.4%-6.7 pp
Away22.2%24.8%+2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
1.55–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.2%
1-016.2%
1-18.5%
1-27.7%
2-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.64–4.61
Average total10.25
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.534.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%26.4%–57.8% CI
Draw FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI
Away FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals23.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.8%
Away50.0%