Serie B · 2019/20
2020-07-13 · 20:00
13.0330.9%
X3.1929.3%
22.3539.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ascoli
WWWLDDLLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Empoli
LLLLWWWLDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.30
Against
5.00
8.70
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ascoli attack
1.30goals per matchEmpoli conceded1.30Matchup
Empoli attack
0.90goals per matchAscoli conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.00
8.70
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.70
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.10N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
30.70
Match total
29.50
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.00
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%26.8%-4.0 pp
Draw29.3%26.8%-2.5 pp
Away39.8%46.3%+6.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS56.1%
Historical average
1.07–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
1-212.2%
0-19.8%
0-09.8%
0-29.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.39–4.83
Average total10.22
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.7%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.541.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.0%21.5%–55.8% CI
Draw FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI
Away FT33.3%18.6%–52.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.1%
Away55.6%