Serie B · 2019/20
2020-07-10 · 20:00
11.9348.6%
X3.2928.5%
24.1122.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spezia
WWWDWWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Cosenza
LDWLLLWDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.60
Against
4.80
7.80
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spezia attack
1.80goals per matchCosenza conceded1.40Matchup
Cosenza attack
1.50goals per matchSpezia conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.80
7.80
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.10
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
16.90N=10
29.00
Match total
33.80
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.30
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.6%40.6%-8.0 pp
Draw28.5%28.9%+0.4 pp
Away22.8%30.5%+7.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS57.8%
Historical average
1.39–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.3%
2-111.7%
1-010.9%
1-210.2%
0-010.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.90–4.36
Average total10.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.535.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%25.0%–53.2% CI
Draw FT38.1%25.0%–53.2% CI
Away FT23.8%13.5%–38.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals19.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away35.7%